Stoсhastic model of the time series of the average daily bioclimatic index of severity of climatic regime

Результат исследования: Публикации в книгах, отчётах, сборниках, трудах конференцийстатья в сборнике материалов конференциинаучнаярецензирование

Аннотация

In this paper, a numerical stochastic model of the time series of the average daily bioclimatic index of severity of climatic regime is proposed and validated. This model is based on an assumption that real weather processes are non-stationary random processes on a year-long interval. In this assumption, the model takes into account the seasonal variation of the real meteorological processes. The input parameters of the model are determined from the data of long-term real observations at weather stations. It is shown that the trajectories of the model proposed are close in their statistical properties to the real time series of the bioclimatic index under consideration. The results related to studying the influence of a climate change on the time series of the average daily bioclimatic index of severity of climatic regime are given.

Язык оригиналаанглийский
Название основной публикации33rd Annual European Simulation and Modelling Conference 2019, ESM 2019
РедакторыPilar Fuster-Parra, Oscar Valero Sierra
ИздательEUROSIS
Страницы185-189
Число страниц5
ISBN (электронное издание)9789492859099
СостояниеОпубликовано - 1 янв 2019
Событие33rd Annual European Simulation and Modelling Conference, ESM 2019 - Plama de Mallorca, Испания
Продолжительность: 28 окт 201930 окт 2019

Серия публикаций

Название33rd Annual European Simulation and Modelling Conference 2019, ESM 2019

Конференция

Конференция33rd Annual European Simulation and Modelling Conference, ESM 2019
СтранаИспания
ГородPlama de Mallorca
Период28.10.201930.10.2019

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  • Цитировать

    Kargapolova, N. A. (2019). Stoсhastic model of the time series of the average daily bioclimatic index of severity of climatic regime. В P. Fuster-Parra, & O. V. Sierra (Ред.), 33rd Annual European Simulation and Modelling Conference 2019, ESM 2019 (стр. 185-189). (33rd Annual European Simulation and Modelling Conference 2019, ESM 2019). EUROSIS.