Elaboration of balance-optimization in economic and mathematical model of development of a large municipal unit: Real experience

Alexander S. Novoselov; Alexey E. Kovalev; Egor A. Gaiduk; Gagik M. Mkrtchyan

doi:10.17516/1997–1370–0521

Elaboration of balance-optimization in economic and mathematical model of development of a large municipal unit: Real experience

Переведенное название: Опыт разработки балансово-оптимизационной модели развития крупного муниципального образования

Alexander S. Novoselov, Alexey E. Kovalev, Egor A. Gaiduk, Gagik M. Mkrtchyan

Результат исследования: Научные публикации в периодических изданиях › статья › рецензирование

Аннотация

Целью исследования является построение балансово-оптимизационной динамической модели, позволяющей обеспечить прогнозирование устойчивого поступательного развития крупного муниципального образования. На основе метода динамического программирования Ричарда Беллмана авторами разработана экономико-математическая модель, оптимизирующая ключевые показатели развития муниципального образования. В модели используются и прогнозируются показатели, включенные в список базовых факторов оценки эффективности деятельности администрации муниципального образования. Сделан анализ результатов применения модели для прогнозирования развития крупного муниципального образования на примере Новосибирска. Расчеты показали, что модель способна работать с реальной экономической информацией и может использоваться для прогнозирования и принятия управленческих решений на муниципальном уровне

Переведенное название	Опыт разработки балансово-оптимизационной модели развития крупного муниципального образования
Язык оригинала	английский
Страницы (с-по)	2258-2276
Число страниц	19
Журнал	Journal of Siberian Federal University - Humanities and Social Sciences
Том	12
Номер выпуска	12
DOI	https://doi.org/10.17516/1997–1370–0521
Состояние	Опубликовано - 1 дек. 2019
Опубликовано для внешнего пользования	Да

Ключевые слова

Forecasting
Management
Modelling
Municipal unit
Strategic planning

Предметные области OECD FOS+WOS

5.04 СОЦИОЛОГИЧЕСКИЕ НАУКИ

Доступ к документу

10.17516/1997–1370–0521

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abstract = "The objective of the study is to develop a balance-optimizing economic and mathematical model which enables predicting steady and sustainable development of a large municipal unit. Using the method of dynamic programming introduced by Richard Bellman, the authors worked out the economic and mathematical model for optimizing the key indicators of soсial and economic development of a municipal unit. The model used and predicted indicators included in the list of the key performance indicators of municipal unit authorities. There is an analysis of the results of applying the model for a large municipal unit - Novosibirsk. The calculations made by the authors indicate that the model may work with actual economic information and may be used for predicting and making managerial decisions at a municipal level.The research was done with the plan of research work of IEIE SB RAS for the project XI.173.1.2 “Strategic management of regional and municipal development: concept and principles of implementation” No. АААА-А17-117022250118-6.",

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Elaboration of balance-optimization in economic and mathematical model of development of a large municipal unit: Real experience. / Novoselov, Alexander S.; Kovalev, Alexey E.; Gaiduk, Egor A. и др.

В: Journal of Siberian Federal University - Humanities and Social Sciences, Том 12, № 12, 01.12.2019, стр. 2258-2276.

Результат исследования: Научные публикации в периодических изданиях › статья › рецензирование

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