Оценка влияния национальных проектов на развитие экономики России с использованием динамической межотраслевой модели

Translated title of the contribution: Evaluation of the Impact of National Projects on Development of the Russian Economy Using a Dynamic Input-Output Model

Александр Олегович Баранов, Антон Валерьевич Гореев

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

The article attempts to assess the impact of implementation of national projects on the dynamics of macroeconomic and sectoral indicators of the Russian economy in 2019–2024. Forecast calculations are based on the dynamic input-output model (DIOM). The data base for the model was sourced from information by the Government of the Russian Federation on national projects and from the “Input – Output” tables for 2015. The assumptions of the forecast and given exogenous indicators correspond to the main parameters of implemented national projects. The use of DIOM made it possible to evaluate the dynamic multiplicative effect of additional costs associated with national projects for the Russia’s gross domestic product (annual and for the whole period), to show the impact of these projects on the industrial structure of production. It is shown that implementation of national projects will accelerate the economic growth in Russia
Translated title of the contributionEvaluation of the Impact of National Projects on Development of the Russian Economy Using a Dynamic Input-Output Model
Original languageRussian
Pages (from-to)94-114
Number of pages21
JournalЭКО
Volume49
Issue number10 (544)
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Oct 2019

State classification of scientific and technological information

  • 06 ECONOMY AND ECONOMIC SCIENCE

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